Options bulls say Ford will drive higher

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“Halftime Report” trader Jon Najarian spots unusual activity in the options market. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: https://cnb.cx/2NGeIvi

Ford Motor’s U.S. vehicle sales showed positive signs of recovery from an ongoing shortage of semiconductor chips that’s wreaked havoc on the global automotive industry this year.

The Detroit automaker on Wednesday reported sales of 175,918 new vehicles in October, down by 4% from a year ago but a far narrower loss than in prior months. The sales mark Ford’s best sales by volume since April and the first time since May that the company hasn’t reported a double-digit monthly loss compared with 2020.

“Continuous improvement in inventories and new products made Ford the best-selling automaker in America for the second month in a row, which was last accomplished 23 years ago,” said Andrew Frick, Ford vice president of U.S. and Canada sales. “Retail sales improved 16%, relative to September, with retail share up 1.6 percentage points.”

In another positive note, Ford said vehicle inventories, which have been at record lows due to the chip shortage, increased by 7,000 units from a month earlier to 243,000 cars and trucks.

Ford’s sales last month outpaced the industry, according to Cox Automotive. The auto research company on Wednesday estimated new U.S. vehicle sales were down by about 21% compared with October 2020. That’s better than Cox’s initial forecast of a 30% decline.

“The market is still experiencing very low inventory and correspondingly low incentives, but the worst is likely behind us,” Cox said in a release.

Ford is among a handful of automakers to report new monthly vehicle sales. Others — such as General Motors and Stellantis, formerly Fiat Chrysler — report sales only quarterly.

Ford’s October sales come a week after the company nearly doubled Wall Street’s earnings expectations for the third quarter and raised its full-year adjusted earnings guidance to between $10.5 billion and $11.5 billion, up from between $9 billion and $10 billion.

However, Ford isn’t in the clear regarding its supply of semiconductor chips just yet. CFO John Lawler last week said the company expects the chip shortage to continue into next year and potentially, to a far lesser extent, into 2023.

Lawler said Ford expects a 10% increase in wholesale vehicle volumes in 2022 compared with this year, as the semiconductor shortage continues to impact the business.

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