Drought in the Horn of Africa: ‘real risk of famine’ – Press Conference (21 April 2021)

United Nations published this video item, entitled “Drought in the Horn of Africa: ‘real risk of famine’ – Press Conference (21 April 2021)” – below is their description.

Michael Dunford, World Food Program’s Regional Director for East Africa said that there is a real risk of famine due to the drought in the Horn of Africa, adding that funding gap is forcing the Programme to make very tough choices – “taking from the hungry to feed the starving.”

Speaking to reporters today (21 Apr) from Nairobi via a video link, Dunford said, “the drought has already had three failed rainy season and we are approaching the fourth. In fact, we are now halfway through.”

He continued, “originally the estimates of the effective beginning of this year was between 13 and 14 million. We now estimate this as increased to 15, 16 million and if the rains fail or if they are below average, then this number could increase to 20 million. So we have a very real risk of famine.”

The Regional Director also said, “this is happening at a time with a level of food insecurity across the region has increased dramatically, adding that we are now estimating that 81 million people across eastern Africa and the horn are food insecure. This is a 60 percent increase since 2021.”

He went on explaining “what is causing it? It’s a combination of ongoing conflicts. And I’ve spoken to you previously about Tigray, it’s the climate effect, it’s the droughts and also the flooding. We’re also now seeing the macroeconomic impacts of COVID. Now we’re seeing a spike in the cost. Some of this is related to Ukraine, as you know, others are due to other factors such as rising fuel prices.”

Dunford also said, “when I look particularly at situation as relates to the drought, the numbers are really very alarming. In Ethiopia, there are 7 million people affected. In Somalia we estimate is between five and six million and in Kenya 3.5 million. In fact, we even now are getting reports of drought in Djibouti. The government announced previously and we’re seeing significant numbers up to 55 percent of the rural population affected by this drought.”

The impact of the war in Ukraine is certainly being felt, particularly with regards the impact it’s having on prices and the cost of living, the Regional Director added.

He said, “we estimate that wheat imports into the region accounted for 84 percent of all the wheat consumed. And as you know, Russia, Ukraine, a huge contributors for these imports.”

Dunford continued, “we’ve seen an increase in the average food basket by 23 percent and across the region, and in some of the countries Ethiopia is 66 percent. And in Somalia, it’s 36 percent.”

The Regional Director also expressed concerns about the implications for conflict in Ukraine as it relates to the availability importation of fertilizer, adding that “countries country rely on 90 percent of all their inputs from these two countries, so we’re expecting the deterioration situation will continue.”

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